the 2004 exit polls: more Mitofsky graphs
This isn't quite what I had in mind for my first-ever Daily Kos diary. I am working on several different versions of comments on the last few weeks' worth of exit poll brouhaha. But for now, just a...
View ArticleClinton-Obama swap on NH scanners? not so much
As he reflects on the New Hampshire results, my old friend Bruce O'Dell at Election Defense Alliance appears to be having a bad week. ...based on the official results on the New Hampshire Secretary of...
View ArticleSouth Carolina Fraudstorm Advisory
This is an advisory, not yet a warning: the South Carolina Democratic primary just might be a perfect election integrity shitstorm. Torrents of tin foil the size of baseballs -- and false sightings of...
View ArticleGetting election integrity right: pardon my meta
The New Hampshire primary and recount sparked a new round of the recurrent Fraud Wars, with the attendant psychodrama. Here's a question I was recently asked on DKos, not so different from questions...
View ArticleDid Don Siegelman win in 2002? probably not
Recently the long, strange story of former Alabama governor Don Siegelman has rightly received a lot of attention. There is good reason to believe that Siegelman's prosecution on corruption charges was...
View ArticleElection Fraud Myths: The Exit Polls
I like good arguments, and I hate bad arguments. When people offer bad arguments on election integrity issues, it makes me want to scream. Do bad arguments actually undermine the cause of election...
View ArticleElection Fraud Myths: The "Connally Anomaly"
Here is another in my occasional series of critiques of bad election fraud arguments. I realize that some people consider it counterproductive to criticize bad election fraud arguments for fear of...
View ArticleElection Fraud Myths: The "Urban Legend" of 2004
In June 2007, the New Zealand online publication Scoop published an article by Michael Collins called "Election 2004: The Urban Legend." (The article is now a chapter in Mark Crispin Miller's edited...
View ArticleThe mythical Gallup conspiracy
Recently I've seen at least two rec-listed diaries that allege that the Gallup Organization has deliberately distorted its survey results. The most recent one avers, "Gallup admits: it only releases...
View ArticleElection Fraud Myths: RFK Jr.'s "Was the 2004 Election Stolen?"
From time to time, Kossacks and others will cite Robert F. Kennedy Jr.'s summer 2006 article, "Was the 2004 Election Stolen?", as an examplar of investigative reporting into election integrity issues....
View Articleblack voters and Prop 8: data from L.A. County
For the past few days, debate has raged over whether 70% of self-identified blacks in California voted for Proposition 8 (as the major-media exit poll indicates), what it means, whether we should care,...
View ArticleElection Fraud Myths: John Lott Does MN-Sen
This series has focused on election fraud myths among progressives; other people have ably addressed counter-myths such as the ACORN Marauders. But this week, John R. Lott Jr. launched a new myth about...
View Article"Armando's Challenge" at 5: an election integrity check-in
Five years ago yesterday, "georgia10" posted a diary called "Armando's Challenge, Or The Informed Citizen's Guide To The 2004 Election." I’ll explain that title below the fold. The associated 57-page...
View ArticleMA-Sen stat snapshot: where did Coakley lose?
Let me be clear: this isn't a strategy diary. I don't have time for that, and I think we're in the usual hand-wringing mode anyway. This diary compares Massachusetts town-level results for Obama in...
View ArticleProp 8: Another Exit Poll-Based Fraud Argument Implodes
Some folks may have noticed a diary that ran in mid-January on a study that said that an "election verification exit poll" provided evidence that the 2008 California Prop 8 vote count had been hacked....
View ArticleGreene and the black vote (and other SC fact checks)
The South Carolina Democratic primary for U.S. Senate has attracted considerable attention. Here I want to address several particular claims that I've seen made repeatedly here on DKos and...
View ArticleIndian security researcher arrested for "stealing" voting machine
Hari Prasad, the managing director of an Indian research and development firm and co-author of a technical paper detailing security vulnerabilities in India's electronic voting machines, has been...
View ArticleNY primary: farewell to levers
Tuesday's primary election in New York will be the first statewide election conducted entirely on optical scanners instead of lever machines. New York is the last state to abandon lever machines...
View ArticleWas Scott Brown's Seat Stolen? (Probably Not)
From time to time I examine allegations of electronic election fraud. There’s no question that such fraud is possible: computers can yield incorrect results in the blink of an eye. Unfortunately, the...
View ArticleGetting Waukesha right, getting elections right
In the past 24 hours or so there have been, oh, a few diaries about the electoral reversal of fortune in Waukesha County, Wisconsin. Like many posters here, I have seen nothing that leads me to believe...
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